(16.12.2015, 15:14)lor-olli schrieb: Betrachtet man einmal ganz nüchtern unsere Zeit seit der industriellen Revolution, sollte uns das Szenario der freigesetzten Arbeitskräfte nicht ganz so unbekannt vorkommen - es gibt schlichtweg neue Ausgangsbedingungen. Hätte vor 100 Jahren sich jemand vorstellen können, dass wir heute kaum noch Bauern brauchen (wegen der techn. Entwicklung), dass die Industrieproduktion nur noch einem kleinen Teil der Menschen (manuelle) Arbeit bietet (weniger als 25% der Beschäftigten), dass die meisten Menschen Bürotätigkeiten verrichten die man sich vor 100 Jahren nicht einmal vorstellen konnte (Web-Programmierer etwa).
Alles im Video schon aufgegriffen
"you may thinks we have been here before, but this time is different [...] [mechanical minds] are outcompeting humans for jobs in a way no pure mechanical muscle ever could [...] there is this notion that just as mechanical muscles allowed us to move into thinking jobs, that mechanical minds will allow us to move into creative work [...] artistic creativity isn't what the majority of jobs depend on, the number of writers, directors, artists and poets who actually make a living doing their work is a tiny, tiny, tiny portion of the labour force [...] this stuff isn't science ficiton, the robots are here right now [...] we have beeen through economic revolutions before, but the robot revolution is different [...] many bright, perfectly capable humans will find themselves unemployable through no fault of their own [...] in 1776 there were only a few kinds of jobs, now there are hundres of kinds of jobs, but the new ones are not a significant part of the labour fource [...] the list of jobs, ranked by the number of people who perform them, it is a sobering list, [...] going down the list all of this work existed in some form a hundred years ago and almost all of them are easy targets for automation [...] don't think that every barrista or white collar worker need lose their job, before things are a problem. the unemployment rate during the Great Depresson was 25%. Just [...] the [automation] stuff that already works can easily push us above that number pretty soon [...] given that even in our modern technological wonderland new kinds of work aren't a significant portion of the economy, this is a big problem [...] We need to start thinking now, about what to do when large sections of the population are unemployable through no fault of their own"
Insofern finde ich Gedanken in der von Decathlonitis vorgeschlagenen Richtung sinnvoller, als ein "wird schon werden, hat ja immer geklappt"
There is all the difference in the world between treating people equally and attempting to make them equal (Friedrich August von Hayek)